Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 153.713574 181.560119 215.669437 261.450348 322.803348 404.581616 526.347620
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 117.761020 149.958073 194.332200 263.105044 373.738221 559.696166 939.946520
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 96.047225 127.393591 173.542932 251.502086 392.772770 674.030970 1430.565651
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 86.945899 119.712163 171.035393 265.424064 459.381258 930.003939 2790.838906
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 76.127776 107.146330 157.569851 255.349331 473.673527 1085.216551 4492.325852
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 69.675114 100.254224 151.880487 257.726553 516.736503 1379.048840 9492.869565
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 63.475585 92.812944 143.742978 252.661550 539.262274 1647.396614 21055.653465
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 61.881872 92.792811 148.889109 277.465492 661.200063 2649.511324 520593.316643
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 61.863908 95.431753 159.524761 319.119345 879.727844 5507.653729 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 57.836233 90.284822 153.594434 317.090840 937.124765 7629.699073 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 54.932375 86.882727 150.738230 322.628026 1036.785864 12317.876570 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 52.221883 83.544178 147.483133 326.137616 1135.195320 21160.701438 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 49.086898 79.467786 142.878650 327.293705 1247.752386 46269.504302 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 46.287429 75.820189 138.840904 329.753392 1387.923305 167555.210798 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 42.825820 70.490994 130.072656 313.707398 1379.657026 394164.126825 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 41.568570 69.471808 131.344446 332.971806 1703.472073 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 38.869876 65.225497 124.125344 319.014994 1705.637175 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 37.213243 63.000283 121.626408 322.300692 1909.517394 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 35.286828 60.041332 116.876975 315.305691 1989.598214 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 35.102150 60.761103 121.697919 349.761849 2814.658922 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 35.517180 62.823467 130.540536 408.731947 4870.497026 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 34.032942 60.509333 126.857372 405.828798 5415.516845 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 32.949874 59.017137 125.327602 413.760946 6605.343304 NaN NaN